EdgeTake

2B · TEX

Nicky Lopez — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Stolen Bases
4
Per Game
0.10
Projection
0.06
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 39 games this season, Nicky Lopez (TEX) is averaging 0.1 stolen bases per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.1. They've gone over 0.5 in 10% of those games. We project 0.06, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Bryan Woo (RHP)

vs LHP
.387
.793 OPS · 0 HR · 36 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.307
.706 OPS · 1 HR · 109 PA

Career vs Bryan Woo: 0-for-1 (.000 AVG) over 2 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +750 FanDuelUnder 0.5 -1060 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Nicky Lopez went over in 4 of 39 2026 games.

Our projection 0.06 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.44.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/3910%

Share of 2026 games Lopez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.10

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (18)
0.11
Away (21)
0.10
Home edge
+0.02

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-04-25vs LAD0Under
2026-04-29vs SD0Under
2026-05-09vs TEX0Under
2026-05-28vs HOU0Under
2026-05-29vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs KC0Under
2026-05-30vs KC0Under
2026-05-31vs KC0Under
2026-06-01vs STL0Under
2026-06-02vs STL0Under
2026-06-03vs STL0Under
2026-06-07vs CLE0Under
2026-06-10vs KC0Under
2026-06-11vs KC0Under
2026-06-12vs BOS0Under
2026-06-13vs BOS1Over
2026-06-14vs BOS0Under
2026-06-16vs MIN1Over
2026-06-17vs MIN0Under
2026-06-18vs MIN0Under
2026-06-20vs SD0Under
2026-06-20vs SD0Under
2026-06-21vs SD0Under
2026-06-22vs MIA0Under
2026-06-23vs MIA0Under
2026-06-24vs MIA0Under
2026-06-25vs TOR0Under
2026-06-26vs TOR0Under
2026-06-27vs TOR1Over
2026-06-28vs TOR0Under
2026-06-29vs CLE0Under
2026-06-30vs CLE0Under
2026-07-01vs CLE0Under
2026-07-03vs DET1Over
2026-07-04vs DET0Under
2026-07-05vs DET0Under
2026-07-08vs LAA0Under
2026-07-09vs LAA0Under
2026-07-10vs LAA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nicky Lopez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.