3B · LAA
Nick Madrigal — Stolen Bases
2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nick Madrigal (LAA) has averaged 0.07 stolen bases per game across 15 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 0.1 over the last 10. 7% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.06 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ SF — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Robbie Ray (LHP)
Career vs Robbie Ray: 0-for-3 (.000 AVG) over 3 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Nick Madrigal went over in 1 of 15 2026 games.
Our projection 0.06 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.44.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/15 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Madrigal finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases
| Date | Opp | Stolen Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-07 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-07 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-11 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-14 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-19 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Madrigal’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.