2B · KC
Nick Loftin — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nick Loftin (KC) has averaged 0.9 total bases per game across 31 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 1 over the last 10. 48% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 1.12 sits above the market line of 0.76.
Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -134 at Caesars — model 55% to hit, -4.1% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Nick Loftin went over in 15 of 31 2026 games.
Our projection 1.12 vs market line 0.76 — edge +0.36.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 15/31 | 48% |
| 1.5 | 9/31 | 29% |
| 2.5 | 3/31 | 10% |
| 3.5 | 1/31 | 3% |
Share of 2026 games Loftin finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs CIN | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Loftin’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.