EdgeTake

SS · HOU

Nick Allen — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
35
Total Bases
28
Per Game
0.80
Projection
1.02
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 35 games this season, Nick Allen (HOU) is averaging 0.8 total bases per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.7. They've gone over 0.5 in 46% of those games. Our projection of 1.02 sits above the market line of 0.71.

Next matchup

Next: @ CWS — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Sean Burke (RHP)

vs LHP
.320
.877 OPS · 1 HR · 28 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.214
.492 OPS · 0 HR · 78 PA

Career vs Sean Burke: 1-for-2 (.500 AVG) over 2 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 -103 at Caesars — model 49% to hit, -4.1% EV.

Over 0.5 -130 CaesarsUnder 0.5 -103 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Nick Allen went over in 16 of 35 2026 games.

Our projection 1.02 vs market line 0.71 — edge +0.31.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.516/3546%
1.56/3517%
2.53/359%
3.51/353%

Share of 2026 games Allen finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.70
Season avg
0.80

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (21)
0.67
Away (14)
1.00
Home edge
-0.33

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs BOS0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH2Over
2026-04-04vs ATH0Under
2026-04-05vs ATH1Over
2026-04-12vs SEA0Under
2026-04-12vs SEA0Under
2026-04-13vs SEA0Under
2026-04-16vs COL3Over
2026-04-18vs STL0Under
2026-05-06vs LAD1Over
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-08vs CIN1Over
2026-05-10vs CIN0Under
2026-05-17vs TEX1Over
2026-05-24vs CHC6Over
2026-05-25vs TEX2Over
2026-05-27vs TEX0Under
2026-05-29vs TEX0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-31vs MIL0Under
2026-06-04vs PIT3Over
2026-06-05vs PIT1Over
2026-06-06vs ATH0Under
2026-06-06vs ATH0Under
2026-06-07vs ATH1Over
2026-06-30vs MIN1Over
2026-07-01vs MIN0Under
2026-07-02vs MIN1Over
2026-07-04vs TB0Under
2026-07-04vs TB2Over
2026-07-05vs TB0Under
2026-07-07vs WSH1Over
2026-07-08vs WSH1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Allen’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.