SS · HOU
Nick Allen — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 35 games this season, Nick Allen (HOU) is averaging 0.03 home runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. 3% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.04, below the market line of 0.87.
Next: @ CWS — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Sean Burke (RHP)
Career vs Sean Burke: 1-for-2 (.500 AVG) over 2 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Nick Allen went over in 1 of 35 2026 games.
Our projection 0.04 vs market line 0.87 — edge -0.83.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/35 | 3% |
Share of 2026 games Allen finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-07 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-30 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-01 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-02 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-07 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Allen’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.