OF · STL
Nelson Velázquez — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nelson Velázquez (STL) has averaged 1.2 hits per game across 5 games this season, tracking close to that at 1.2 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 80% of games this season. We project 1.74, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 28 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Nelson Velázquez went over in 4 of 5 2026 games.
Our projection 1.74 vs market line 0.5 — edge +1.24.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 4/5 | 80% |
| 1.5 | 2/5 | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0/5 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Velázquez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 5 games.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-01 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nelson Velázquez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.