DH · CIN
Nathaniel Lowe — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nathaniel Lowe (CIN) sits at 1.6 total bases per game through 43 games, trending up to 2 across the last 10. The over on 1.5 has hit in 37% of games. Our model projects 1.92, a step above the market line of 1.21.
Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 1.5 +143 at DraftKings — model 42% to hit, +2.9% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (draftkings), Nathaniel Lowe went over in 16 of 43 2026 games.
Our projection 1.92 vs market line 1.21 — edge +0.71.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 24/43 | 56% |
| 1.5 | 16/43 | 37% |
| 2.5 | 12/43 | 28% |
| 3.5 | 9/43 | 21% |
Share of 2026 games Lowe finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs DET | 8 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs DET | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs DET | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs COL | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PIT | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CHC | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CLE | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CLE | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs PHI | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs STL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs STL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs ATL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nathaniel Lowe’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.