Nathan Lukes — Stolen Bases

Nathan Lukes (TOR) has averaged 0 stolen bases per game across 58 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0. The over on 0.5 has hit in 0% of games. We project 0.02, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Probable starter: Sonny Gray (RHP)

Career vs Sonny Gray: 1-for-3, 1 HR (.333 AVG) over 3 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.