EdgeTake

OF · BOS

Nate Eaton — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
5
Total Bases
9
Per Game
1.80
Projection
1.62
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Nate Eaton (BOS) has averaged 1.8 total bases per game across 5 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 1.8. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 40% of games this season. Our model projects 1.62, a step above the market line of 1.42.

Next matchup

Next: vs NYY — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Cam Schlittler (RHP)

vs LHP
.333
1.000 OPS · 0 HR · 8 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.200
.933 OPS · 1 HR · 12 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -120 at BetMGM — model 57% to hit, +3.6% EV.

Over 1.5 +108 DraftKingsUnder 1.5 -120 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (betonlineag), Nate Eaton went over in 2 of 5 2026 games.

Our projection 1.62 vs market line 1.42 — edge +0.2.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/540%
1.52/540%
2.52/540%
3.52/540%

Share of 2026 games Eaton finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 5 avg
1.80
Season avg
1.80

Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 5 games.

Home / away splits

Home (1)
0.00
Away (4)
2.25
Home edge
-2.25

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-06-10vs TB0Under
2026-06-17vs TOR0Under
2026-06-21vs SEA0Under
2026-06-21vs SEA4Over
2026-06-24vs COL5Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nate Eaton’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.