OF · BOS
Nate Eaton — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 5 games this season, Nate Eaton (BOS) is averaging 0.6 runs per game, tracking close to that at 0.6 over the last 10. 40% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.52 sits above the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs NYY — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Cam Schlittler (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Nate Eaton went over in 2 of 5 2026 games.
Our projection 0.52 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.02.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 2/5 | 40% |
| 1.5 | 1/5 | 20% |
Share of 2026 games Eaton finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 5 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-24 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nate Eaton’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.