OF · BOS
Nate Eaton — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nate Eaton (BOS) has averaged 0.2 home runs per game across 5 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.2 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 20% of games this season. Our projection of 0.11 comes in under the market line of 0.83.
Next: vs NYY — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Cam Schlittler (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Nate Eaton went over in 1 of 5 2026 games.
Our projection 0.11 vs market line 0.83 — edge -0.72.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/5 | 20% |
Share of 2026 games Eaton finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 5 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nate Eaton’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.