OF · BOS
Nate Eaton — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 5 games this season, Nate Eaton (BOS) is averaging 0.8 hits per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.8. The over on 1.5 has hit in 20% of games. Our model projects 1.01, below the market line of 1.14.
Next: vs NYY — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Cam Schlittler (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
Under 1.5 -225 at BetMGM — model 70% to hit, +0.6% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (betonlineag), Nate Eaton went over in 1 of 5 2026 games.
Our projection 1.01 vs market line 1.14 — edge -0.13.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 2/5 | 40% |
| 1.5 | 1/5 | 20% |
| 2.5 | 1/5 | 20% |
Share of 2026 games Eaton finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 1 of the last 5 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs SEA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-24 | vs COL | 3 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nate Eaton’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.