DH · NYM
MJ Melendez — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 39 games this season, MJ Melendez (NYM) is averaging 0.44 hits per game, while recent form sits lower at 0.3 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 33% of games this season. We project 0.52, short of the 0.64 market line.
Next: @ SD — their staff ranks 10 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 -149 at DraftKings — model 58% to hit, -3.6% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), MJ Melendez went over in 13 of 39 2026 games.
Our projection 0.52 vs market line 0.64 — edge -0.12.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 13/39 | 33% |
| 1.5 | 4/39 | 10% |
| 2.5 | 0/39 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Melendez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See MJ Melendez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.