EdgeTake

3B · SEA

Miles Mastrobuoni — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
8
Runs
3
Per Game
0.38
Projection
0.5
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Miles Mastrobuoni (SEA) has averaged 0.38 runs per game across 8 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.38. They've gone over 0.5 in 38% of those games. We project 0.5, about even with the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ PIT — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Mitch Keller (RHP)

vs LHP
1.000
2.000 OPS · 0 HR · 2 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.182
.422 OPS · 0 HR · 25 PA

Career vs Mitch Keller: 2-for-5 (.400 AVG) over 5 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +190 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -250 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Miles Mastrobuoni went over in 3 of 8 2026 games.

Our projection 0.5 vs market line 0.5 — edge 0.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/838%
1.50/80%

Share of 2026 games Mastrobuoni finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 8 avg
0.38
Season avg
0.38

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 8 games.

Home / away splits

Home (3)
0.33
Away (5)
0.40
Home edge
-0.07

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-06-10vs BAL1Over
2026-06-11vs BAL0Under
2026-06-12vs WSH0Under
2026-06-13vs WSH1Over
2026-06-14vs WSH0Under
2026-06-17vs BAL1Over
2026-06-18vs BAL0Under
2026-06-18vs BAL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Miles Mastrobuoni’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.