EdgeTake

C · CHC

Miguel Amaya — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
48
Home Runs
3
Per Game
0.06
Projection
0.12
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 48 games this season, Miguel Amaya (CHC) is averaging 0.06 home runs per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0. They've gone over 1.5 in 0% of those games. Our projection of 0.12 comes in under the market line of 0.94.

Next matchup

Next: @ PIT — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Paul Skenes (RHP)

vs LHP
.262
.714 OPS · 0 HR · 53 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.219
.699 OPS · 3 HR · 112 PA

Career vs Paul Skenes: 0-for-6 (.000 AVG) over 6 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Miguel Amaya went over in 0 of 48 2026 games.

Our projection 0.12 vs market line 0.94 — edge -0.82.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/486%

Share of 2026 games Amaya finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.06

Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
0.04
Away (22)
0.09
Home edge
-0.05

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-28vs WSH1Under
2026-03-31vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs LAA0Under
2026-04-03vs CLE0Under
2026-04-05vs CLE0Under
2026-04-06vs TB0Under
2026-04-07vs TB0Under
2026-04-11vs PIT0Under
2026-04-12vs PIT0Under
2026-04-13vs PHI0Under
2026-04-14vs PHI0Under
2026-04-15vs PHI0Under
2026-04-18vs NYM0Under
2026-04-20vs PHI0Under
2026-04-22vs PHI0Under
2026-04-23vs PHI0Under
2026-04-25vs LAD1Under
2026-04-29vs SD0Under
2026-05-02vs AZ0Under
2026-05-05vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs CIN0Under
2026-05-07vs CIN0Under
2026-05-14vs ATL0Under
2026-05-16vs CWS1Under
2026-05-17vs CWS0Under
2026-05-19vs MIL0Under
2026-05-20vs MIL0Under
2026-05-22vs HOU0Under
2026-05-23vs HOU0Under
2026-05-25vs PIT0Under
2026-05-28vs PIT0Under
2026-05-30vs STL0Under
2026-06-04vs ATH0Under
2026-06-05vs SF0Under
2026-06-06vs SF0Under
2026-06-08vs SF0Under
2026-06-10vs COL0Under
2026-06-14vs SF0Under
2026-06-17vs COL0Under
2026-06-20vs TOR0Under
2026-06-24vs NYM0Under
2026-06-25vs NYM0Under
2026-06-28vs MIL0Under
2026-06-30vs SD0Under
2026-07-01vs SD0Under
2026-07-05vs STL0Under
2026-07-07vs BAL0Under
2026-07-09vs BAL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Miguel Amaya’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.