EdgeTake

CF · DET

Matt Vierling — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
47
Hits
35
Per Game
0.74
Projection
0.71
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Matt Vierling (DET) sits at 0.74 hits per game through 47 games, trending up to 1 across the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 55% of games this season. Our model projects 0.71, a step above the market line of 0.68.

Next matchup

Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 -108 at DraftKings — model 49% to hit, -6.0% EV.

Over 0.5 -123 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -108 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Matt Vierling went over in 26 of 47 2026 games.

Our projection 0.71 vs market line 0.68 — edge +0.03.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.526/4755%
1.57/4715%
2.52/474%

Share of 2026 games Vierling finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.00
Season avg
0.74

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (22)
0.68
Away (25)
0.80
Home edge
-0.12

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-28vs SD0Under
2026-03-29vs SD0Under
2026-04-01vs AZ1Over
2026-04-04vs STL1Over
2026-04-05vs STL0Under
2026-04-06vs MIN1Over
2026-04-08vs MIN0Under
2026-04-11vs MIA0Under
2026-04-14vs KC1Over
2026-04-16vs KC2Over
2026-04-17vs BOS0Under
2026-04-19vs BOS2Over
2026-04-20vs BOS1Over
2026-04-21vs MIL1Over
2026-04-23vs MIL0Under
2026-04-24vs CIN1Over
2026-04-25vs CIN0Under
2026-04-26vs CIN0Under
2026-04-28vs ATL0Under
2026-04-30vs ATL3Over
2026-05-01vs TEX0Under
2026-05-03vs TEX1Over
2026-05-04vs BOS0Under
2026-05-05vs BOS2Over
2026-05-06vs BOS1Over
2026-05-08vs KC1Over
2026-05-09vs KC0Under
2026-05-10vs KC1Over
2026-05-12vs NYM0Under
2026-05-13vs NYM0Under
2026-05-15vs TOR1Over
2026-05-16vs TOR2Over
2026-05-17vs TOR0Under
2026-05-18vs CLE1Over
2026-05-19vs CLE1Over
2026-05-20vs CLE0Under
2026-05-21vs CLE0Under
2026-05-23vs BAL1Over
2026-05-24vs BAL3Over
2026-05-26vs LAA1Over
2026-05-27vs LAA0Under
2026-05-28vs LAA0Under
2026-05-29vs CWS1Over
2026-05-30vs CWS1Over
2026-05-31vs CWS0Under
2026-06-02vs TB2Over
2026-06-03vs TB1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Matt Vierling’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.