EdgeTake

3B · SD

Manny Machado — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
90
Total Bases
136
Per Game
1.51
Projection
2.18
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 90 games this season, Manny Machado (SD) is averaging 1.51 total bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 2.1. The over on 1.5 has hit in 33% of games. We project 2.18, ahead of the 1.33 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Chris Sale (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.224
.765 OPS · 4 HR · 98 PA
vs RHP
.195
.707 OPS · 18 HR · 320 PA

Career vs Chris Sale: 10-for-28, 1 HR (.357 AVG) over 33 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +144 at DraftKings — model 43% to hit, +5.8% EV.

Over 1.5 +144 DraftKingsUnder 1.5 -155 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (betmgm), Manny Machado went over in 30 of 90 2026 games.

Our projection 2.18 vs market line 1.33 — edge +0.85.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.548/9053%
1.530/9033%
2.521/9023%
3.520/9022%

Share of 2026 games Machado finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
2.10
Season avg
1.51

Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (46)
1.48
Away (44)
1.55
Home edge
-0.07

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs DET1Under
2026-03-28vs DET2Over
2026-03-29vs DET0Under
2026-03-31vs SF0Under
2026-04-01vs SF1Under
2026-04-01vs SF2Over
2026-04-03vs BOS0Under
2026-04-04vs BOS0Under
2026-04-05vs BOS5Over
2026-04-06vs PIT1Under
2026-04-07vs PIT0Under
2026-04-10vs COL1Under
2026-04-11vs COL0Under
2026-04-12vs COL4Over
2026-04-12vs COL1Under
2026-04-15vs SEA0Under
2026-04-16vs SEA0Under
2026-04-17vs SEA2Over
2026-04-18vs LAA1Under
2026-04-19vs LAA0Under
2026-04-19vs LAA0Under
2026-04-22vs COL0Under
2026-04-23vs COL1Under
2026-04-23vs COL2Over
2026-04-25vs AZ1Under
2026-04-26vs AZ8Over
2026-04-28vs CHC5Over
2026-04-29vs CHC0Under
2026-05-02vs CWS1Under
2026-05-03vs CWS0Under
2026-05-03vs CWS5Over
2026-05-05vs SF0Under
2026-05-06vs SF0Under
2026-05-06vs SF0Under
2026-05-08vs STL0Under
2026-05-09vs STL0Under
2026-05-09vs STL4Over
2026-05-10vs STL0Under
2026-05-12vs MIL1Under
2026-05-13vs MIL0Under
2026-05-14vs MIL1Under
2026-05-16vs SEA0Under
2026-05-16vs SEA0Under
2026-05-17vs SEA2Over
2026-05-19vs LAD0Under
2026-05-20vs LAD4Over
2026-05-21vs LAD0Under
2026-05-23vs ATH4Over
2026-05-24vs ATH0Under
2026-05-24vs ATH0Under
2026-05-25vs PHI0Under
2026-05-27vs PHI4Over
2026-05-27vs PHI0Under
2026-05-29vs WSH1Under
2026-05-30vs WSH6Over
2026-05-31vs WSH0Under
2026-06-02vs PHI0Under
2026-06-03vs PHI1Under
2026-06-04vs PHI4Over
2026-06-06vs NYM1Under
2026-06-07vs NYM0Under
2026-06-07vs NYM0Under
2026-06-09vs CIN0Under
2026-06-10vs CIN3Over
2026-06-10vs CIN2Over
2026-06-12vs BAL4Over
2026-06-13vs BAL4Over
2026-06-14vs BAL0Under
2026-06-15vs STL1Under
2026-06-16vs STL0Under
2026-06-17vs STL2Over
2026-06-20vs TEX0Under
2026-06-20vs TEX6Over
2026-06-21vs TEX1Under
2026-06-23vs ATL6Over
2026-06-24vs ATL1Under
2026-06-25vs ATL0Under
2026-06-27vs LAD2Over
2026-06-28vs LAD0Under
2026-06-28vs LAD6Over
2026-06-30vs CHC0Under
2026-07-01vs CHC5Over
2026-07-01vs CHC2Over
2026-07-03vs LAD4Over
2026-07-04vs LAD0Under
2026-07-05vs LAD0Under
2026-07-05vs LAD4Over
2026-07-07vs AZ1Under
2026-07-08vs AZ0Under
2026-07-10vs AZ5Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Manny Machado’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.