3B · SD
Manny Machado — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Manny Machado (SD) sits at 0.63 hits per game through 59 games, tracking close to that at 0.6 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 49% of games. Our model projects 0.62, a step above the market line of 0.53.
Next: vs NYM — their staff ranks 9 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +144 at DraftKings — model 47% to hit, +14.1% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (fanatics), Manny Machado went over in 29 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 0.62 vs market line 0.53 — edge +0.09.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 29/59 | 49% |
| 1.5 | 7/59 | 12% |
| 2.5 | 1/59 | 2% |
Share of 2026 games Machado finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CHC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Manny Machado’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.