EdgeTake

3B · KC

Maikel Garcia — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
69
Total Bases
100
Per Game
1.45
Projection
1.65
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Maikel Garcia (KC) has averaged 1.45 total bases per game across 69 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 1.3. The over on 1.5 has hit in 36% of games. We project 1.65, ahead of the 1.51 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 6 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Casey Mize (RHP)

vs LHP
.327
.917 OPS · 2 HR · 60 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.245
.638 OPS · 1 HR · 234 PA

Career vs Casey Mize: 7-for-12 (.583 AVG) over 13 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +150 at BetMGM — model 38% to hit, -4.9% EV.

Over 0.5 -197 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +150 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (betonlineag), Maikel Garcia went over in 25 of 69 2026 games.

Our projection 1.65 vs market line 1.51 — edge +0.14.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.547/6968%
1.525/6936%
2.513/6919%
3.58/6912%

Share of 2026 games Garcia finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.30
Season avg
1.45

Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (36)
1.67
Away (33)
1.21
Home edge
+0.45

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs ATL1Under
2026-03-28vs ATL0Under
2026-03-29vs ATL1Under
2026-03-30vs MIN3Over
2026-04-01vs MIN1Under
2026-04-02vs MIN1Under
2026-04-03vs MIL4Over
2026-04-04vs MIL0Under
2026-04-05vs MIL5Over
2026-04-06vs CLE4Over
2026-04-07vs CLE0Under
2026-04-08vs CLE1Under
2026-04-09vs CWS2Over
2026-04-10vs CWS1Under
2026-04-11vs CWS6Over
2026-04-12vs CWS0Under
2026-04-14vs DET1Under
2026-04-15vs DET0Under
2026-04-16vs DET1Under
2026-04-17vs NYY0Under
2026-04-18vs NYY2Over
2026-04-19vs NYY0Under
2026-04-20vs BAL3Over
2026-04-21vs BAL1Under
2026-04-22vs BAL0Under
2026-04-26vs LAA0Under
2026-04-29vs ATH4Over
2026-04-30vs ATH0Under
2026-04-30vs ATH8Over
2026-05-02vs SEA1Under
2026-05-03vs SEA2Over
2026-05-03vs SEA1Under
2026-05-04vs CLE0Under
2026-05-05vs CLE0Under
2026-05-06vs CLE2Over
2026-05-07vs CLE3Over
2026-05-08vs DET1Under
2026-05-09vs DET2Over
2026-05-10vs DET4Over
2026-05-12vs CWS1Under
2026-05-13vs CWS0Under
2026-05-14vs CWS1Under
2026-05-16vs STL0Under
2026-05-16vs STL2Over
2026-05-17vs STL1Under
2026-05-18vs BOS1Under
2026-05-19vs BOS1Under
2026-05-20vs BOS0Under
2026-05-22vs SEA2Over
2026-05-23vs SEA2Over
2026-05-24vs SEA2Over
2026-05-25vs NYY1Under
2026-05-26vs NYY0Under
2026-05-27vs NYY3Over
2026-05-30vs TEX2Over
2026-05-30vs TEX1Under
2026-06-04vs MIN0Under
2026-06-06vs MIN0Under
2026-06-06vs MIN1Under
2026-06-07vs MIN1Under
2026-06-09vs TEX3Over
2026-06-10vs TEX0Under
2026-06-13vs HOU2Over
2026-06-13vs HOU0Under
2026-06-14vs HOU4Over
2026-06-15vs WSH1Under
2026-06-16vs WSH0Under
2026-06-21vs STL0Under
2026-06-22vs TB2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Maikel Garcia’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.