EdgeTake

2B · MIN

Luke Keaschall — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
88
Total Bases
104
Per Game
1.18
Projection
1.52
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Luke Keaschall (MIN) has averaged 1.18 total bases per game across 88 games this season, trending up to 1.7 across the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 65% of those games. Our projection of 1.52 sits above the market line of 0.94.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Mason Barnett (RHP)

vs LHP
.250
.669 OPS · 1 HR · 122 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.265
.718 OPS · 3 HR · 262 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +175 at BetRivers — model 36% to hit, -1.2% EV.

Over 1.5 +175 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -187 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Luke Keaschall went over in 57 of 88 2026 games.

Our projection 1.52 vs market line 0.94 — edge +0.58.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.557/8865%
1.529/8833%
2.512/8814%
3.56/887%

Share of 2026 games Keaschall finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.70
Season avg
1.18

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (47)
1.04
Away (41)
1.34
Home edge
-0.30

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs BAL1Over
2026-03-28vs BAL0Under
2026-03-29vs BAL1Over
2026-03-30vs KC0Under
2026-04-01vs KC2Over
2026-04-02vs KC2Over
2026-04-03vs TB1Over
2026-04-04vs TB1Over
2026-04-05vs TB0Under
2026-04-06vs DET4Over
2026-04-07vs DET1Over
2026-04-08vs DET1Over
2026-04-09vs DET0Under
2026-04-10vs TOR1Over
2026-04-11vs TOR0Under
2026-04-12vs TOR2Over
2026-04-13vs BOS2Over
2026-04-14vs BOS2Over
2026-04-15vs BOS0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN3Over
2026-04-19vs CIN0Under
2026-04-21vs NYM2Over
2026-04-22vs NYM0Under
2026-04-23vs NYM0Under
2026-04-25vs TB1Over
2026-04-26vs TB1Over
2026-04-27vs SEA3Over
2026-04-28vs SEA1Over
2026-04-29vs SEA1Over
2026-04-30vs TOR0Under
2026-05-02vs TOR0Under
2026-05-02vs TOR2Over
2026-05-03vs TOR4Over
2026-05-05vs WSH1Over
2026-05-06vs WSH2Over
2026-05-07vs WSH1Over
2026-05-08vs CLE1Over
2026-05-09vs CLE0Under
2026-05-10vs CLE0Under
2026-05-12vs MIA1Over
2026-05-13vs MIA0Under
2026-05-14vs MIA1Over
2026-05-15vs MIL1Over
2026-05-17vs MIL4Over
2026-05-18vs HOU1Over
2026-05-19vs HOU0Under
2026-05-20vs HOU0Under
2026-05-22vs BOS2Over
2026-05-25vs CWS1Over
2026-05-26vs CWS1Over
2026-05-27vs CWS2Over
2026-05-29vs PIT2Over
2026-05-30vs PIT3Over
2026-05-31vs PIT1Over
2026-06-01vs CWS0Under
2026-06-02vs CWS2Over
2026-06-03vs CWS1Over
2026-06-04vs KC0Under
2026-06-06vs KC0Under
2026-06-06vs KC0Under
2026-06-07vs KC1Over
2026-06-09vs DET2Over
2026-06-10vs DET1Over
2026-06-13vs STL0Under
2026-06-13vs STL4Over
2026-06-14vs STL2Over
2026-06-16vs TEX0Under
2026-06-17vs TEX3Over
2026-06-18vs TEX2Over
2026-06-20vs AZ1Over
2026-06-21vs AZ3Over
2026-06-21vs AZ0Under
2026-06-22vs LAD0Under
2026-06-23vs LAD0Under
2026-06-24vs LAD0Under
2026-06-27vs COL0Under
2026-06-27vs COL1Over
2026-06-28vs COL0Under
2026-06-30vs HOU1Over
2026-07-01vs HOU0Under
2026-07-02vs HOU4Over
2026-07-03vs NYY3Over
2026-07-04vs NYY4Over
2026-07-05vs NYY1Over
2026-07-07vs CLE2Over
2026-07-08vs CLE2Over
2026-07-09vs CLE0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Luke Keaschall’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.