Luis Arraez — Home Runs

Luis Arraez (SF) sits at 0.05 home runs per game through 88 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.1. The over on 0.5 has hit in 5% of games. Our model projects 0.08, below the market line of 1.23.

Next: vs LAA — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Probable starter: Grayson Rodriguez (RHP)

Career vs Grayson Rodriguez: 1-for-3 (.333 AVG) over 3 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.