2B · SF
Luis Arraez — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Luis Arraez (SF) sits at 1.27 hits per game through 60 games, with the last 10 steady at 1.3. 38% of those games have finished over 1.5. We project 1.09, short of the 1.33 market line.
Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -190 at BetMGM — model 66% to hit, +1.4% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Luis Arraez went over in 23 of 60 2026 games.
Our projection 1.09 vs market line 1.33 — edge -0.24.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 45/60 | 75% |
| 1.5 | 23/60 | 38% |
| 2.5 | 7/60 | 12% |
Share of 2026 games Arraez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TB | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Luis Arraez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.