EdgeTake

3B · MIA

Leo Jiménez — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
37
Runs
11
Per Game
0.30
Projection
0.37
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Leo Jiménez (MIA) has averaged 0.3 runs per game across 37 games this season, trending up to 0.4 across the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 24% of those games. We project 0.37, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: JP Sears (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.175
.582 OPS · 2 HR · 64 PA
vs RHP
.246
.635 OPS · 0 HR · 73 PA

Career vs JP Sears: 0-for-2 (.000 AVG) over 2 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +195 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -275 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Leo Jiménez went over in 9 of 37 2026 games.

Our projection 0.37 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.13.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.59/3724%
1.52/375%

Share of 2026 games Jiménez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.30

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (19)
0.21
Away (18)
0.39
Home edge
-0.18

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-01vs CWS0Under
2026-04-04vs NYY0Under
2026-04-06vs CIN0Under
2026-04-07vs CIN0Under
2026-04-08vs CIN0Under
2026-04-22vs STL1Over
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-05-03vs PHI1Over
2026-05-07vs BAL0Under
2026-05-08vs WSH0Under
2026-05-09vs WSH0Under
2026-05-13vs MIN2Over
2026-05-14vs MIN0Under
2026-05-17vs TB0Under
2026-05-18vs ATL0Under
2026-05-19vs ATL0Under
2026-05-20vs ATL0Under
2026-05-30vs NYM0Under
2026-06-01vs WSH1Over
2026-06-02vs WSH0Under
2026-06-06vs TB1Over
2026-06-09vs AZ0Under
2026-06-10vs AZ0Under
2026-06-13vs PIT0Under
2026-06-15vs PHI0Under
2026-06-16vs PHI1Over
2026-06-20vs SF0Under
2026-06-22vs TEX0Under
2026-06-24vs TEX0Under
2026-06-28vs STL0Under
2026-06-30vs COL0Under
2026-07-01vs COL2Over
2026-07-02vs COL0Under
2026-07-02vs COL0Under
2026-07-04vs ATH0Under
2026-07-05vs ATH1Over
2026-07-09vs SEA1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Leo Jiménez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.