EdgeTake

C · CWS

Kyle Teel — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
14
Total Bases
16
Per Game
1.14
Projection
1.39
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Kyle Teel (CWS) has averaged 1.14 total bases per game across 14 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 1. The over on 1.5 has hit in 21% of games. Our model projects 1.39, a step above the market line of 0.99.

Next matchup

Next: vs HOU — their staff ranks 26 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)

vs LHP
.176
.352 OPS · 0 HR · 17 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.196
.672 OPS · 2 HR · 53 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +145 at BetMGM — model 41% to hit, +1.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -154 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +145 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Kyle Teel went over in 3 of 14 2026 games.

Our projection 1.39 vs market line 0.99 — edge +0.4.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.58/1457%
1.53/1421%
2.52/1414%
3.52/1414%

Share of 2026 games Teel finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.00
Season avg
1.14

Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (8)
0.88
Away (6)
1.50
Home edge
-0.63

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-06-22vs CLE0Under
2026-06-24vs CLE1Under
2026-06-26vs KC5Over
2026-06-27vs KC0Under
2026-06-28vs KC1Under
2026-06-29vs BAL1Under
2026-06-30vs BAL1Under
2026-07-02vs CLE2Over
2026-07-03vs CLE0Under
2026-07-04vs CLE1Under
2026-07-05vs CLE4Over
2026-07-07vs BOS0Under
2026-07-08vs BOS0Under
2026-07-09vs BOS0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kyle Teel’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.