EdgeTake

1B · CLE

Kyle Manzardo — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
84
Runs
31
Per Game
0.37
Projection
0.41
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 84 games this season, Kyle Manzardo (CLE) is averaging 0.37 runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0.3 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 31% of those games. We project 0.41, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ TB — their staff ranks 9 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Nick Martinez (RHP)

vs LHP
.220
.626 OPS · 1 HR · 71 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.211
.676 OPS · 10 HR · 260 PA

Career vs Nick Martinez: 0-for-4 (.000 AVG) over 4 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +150 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -196 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Kyle Manzardo went over in 26 of 84 2026 games.

Our projection 0.41 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.09.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.526/8431%
1.55/846%

Share of 2026 games Manzardo finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.37

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (42)
0.36
Away (42)
0.38
Home edge
-0.02

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs SEA0Under
2026-03-28vs SEA0Under
2026-03-29vs SEA0Under
2026-03-29vs SEA0Under
2026-03-31vs LAD0Under
2026-04-01vs LAD1Over
2026-04-02vs LAD0Under
2026-04-03vs CHC0Under
2026-04-05vs CHC0Under
2026-04-06vs KC0Under
2026-04-07vs KC0Under
2026-04-08vs KC0Under
2026-04-10vs ATL1Over
2026-04-12vs ATL0Under
2026-04-14vs STL1Over
2026-04-15vs STL0Under
2026-04-16vs BAL0Under
2026-04-17vs BAL0Under
2026-04-18vs BAL0Under
2026-04-20vs HOU0Under
2026-04-21vs HOU0Under
2026-04-22vs HOU0Under
2026-04-24vs TOR0Under
2026-04-25vs TOR0Under
2026-04-26vs TOR0Under
2026-04-27vs TB0Under
2026-04-28vs TB0Under
2026-04-29vs TB0Under
2026-05-02vs ATH1Over
2026-05-02vs ATH1Over
2026-05-03vs ATH0Under
2026-05-05vs KC1Over
2026-05-06vs KC0Under
2026-05-07vs KC1Over
2026-05-09vs MIN0Under
2026-05-10vs MIN1Over
2026-05-11vs LAA2Over
2026-05-12vs LAA0Under
2026-05-13vs LAA0Under
2026-05-15vs CIN2Over
2026-05-16vs CIN1Over
2026-05-17vs CIN2Over
2026-05-19vs DET2Over
2026-05-20vs DET0Under
2026-05-22vs PHI1Over
2026-05-23vs PHI0Under
2026-05-25vs WSH1Over
2026-05-26vs WSH0Under
2026-05-27vs WSH0Under
2026-05-29vs BOS1Over
2026-05-30vs BOS0Under
2026-05-31vs BOS0Under
2026-06-02vs NYY1Over
2026-06-03vs NYY1Over
2026-06-04vs NYY0Under
2026-06-06vs TEX0Under
2026-06-06vs TEX1Over
2026-06-07vs TEX0Under
2026-06-08vs NYY0Under
2026-06-09vs NYY0Under
2026-06-12vs DET0Under
2026-06-13vs DET0Under
2026-06-16vs MIL0Under
2026-06-17vs MIL1Over
2026-06-18vs MIL1Over
2026-06-20vs HOU0Under
2026-06-20vs HOU1Over
2026-06-21vs HOU0Under
2026-06-22vs CWS0Under
2026-06-23vs CWS0Under
2026-06-24vs CWS0Under
2026-06-26vs SEA1Over
2026-06-27vs SEA1Over
2026-06-28vs SEA0Under
2026-06-29vs TEX0Under
2026-06-30vs TEX1Over
2026-07-01vs TEX0Under
2026-07-02vs CWS0Under
2026-07-03vs CWS0Under
2026-07-04vs CWS0Under
2026-07-05vs CWS2Over
2026-07-07vs MIN0Under
2026-07-08vs MIN0Under
2026-07-09vs MIN0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kyle Manzardo’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.