EdgeTake

DH · CHC

Kevin Alcántara — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
11
Total Bases
3
Per Game
0.27
Projection
1.46
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Kevin Alcántara (CHC) has averaged 0.27 total bases per game across 11 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 0.3 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 27% of games this season. Our projection of 1.46 sits above the market line of 0.88.

Next matchup

Next: @ PIT — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Jared Jones (RHP)

vs LHP
.231
.517 OPS · 0 HR · 14 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.143
.286 OPS · 0 HR · 7 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -120 at BetMGM — model 55% to hit, +0.6% EV.

Over 0.5 -120 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -110 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Kevin Alcántara went over in 3 of 11 2026 games.

Our projection 1.46 vs market line 0.88 — edge +0.58.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/1127%
1.50/110%
2.50/110%
3.50/110%

Share of 2026 games Alcántara finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.27

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (7)
0.29
Away (4)
0.25
Home edge
+0.04

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-05-23vs HOU0Under
2026-05-26vs PIT0Under
2026-05-27vs PIT0Under
2026-05-28vs PIT0Under
2026-05-31vs STL1Over
2026-06-03vs ATH0Under
2026-06-05vs SF0Under
2026-07-01vs SD1Over
2026-07-01vs SD1Over
2026-07-03vs STL0Under
2026-07-05vs STL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kevin Alcántara’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.