DH · CHC
Kevin Alcántara — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 11 games this season, Kevin Alcántara (CHC) is averaging 0.18 runs per game, trending up to 0.2 across the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 18% of games. We project 0.56, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ PIT — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Paul Skenes (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Kevin Alcántara went over in 2 of 11 2026 games.
Our projection 0.56 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.06.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 2/11 | 18% |
| 1.5 | 0/11 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Alcántara finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-01 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-01 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-03 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kevin Alcántara’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.