EdgeTake

2B · AZ

Ketel Marte — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
89
Stolen Bases
4
Per Game
0.04
Projection
0.05
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 89 games this season, Ketel Marte (AZ) is averaging 0.04 stolen bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.3. The over on 0.5 has hit in 3% of games. Our model projects 0.05, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ WSH — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Foster Griffin (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.302
.949 OPS · 8 HR · 116 PA
vs RHP
.241
.704 OPS · 10 HR · 321 PA

Career vs Foster Griffin: 0-for-2 (.000 AVG) over 2 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +1020 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Ketel Marte went over in 3 of 89 2026 games.

Our projection 0.05 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.45.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/893%

Share of 2026 games Marte finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.04

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (45)
0.07
Away (44)
0.02
Home edge
+0.04

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs LAD0Under
2026-03-28vs LAD0Under
2026-03-29vs LAD0Under
2026-03-31vs DET0Under
2026-04-01vs DET0Under
2026-04-01vs DET0Under
2026-04-03vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-05vs ATL0Under
2026-04-07vs NYM0Under
2026-04-08vs NYM0Under
2026-04-09vs NYM0Under
2026-04-10vs PHI0Under
2026-04-11vs PHI0Under
2026-04-12vs PHI0Under
2026-04-13vs BAL0Under
2026-04-15vs BAL0Under
2026-04-18vs TOR0Under
2026-04-19vs TOR0Under
2026-04-19vs TOR0Under
2026-04-22vs CWS0Under
2026-04-23vs CWS0Under
2026-04-23vs CWS0Under
2026-04-25vs SD0Under
2026-04-26vs SD0Under
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-04-29vs MIL0Under
2026-04-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-01vs CHC0Under
2026-05-02vs CHC0Under
2026-05-03vs CHC0Under
2026-05-06vs PIT0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-09vs NYM0Under
2026-05-10vs NYM0Under
2026-05-12vs TEX0Under
2026-05-13vs TEX0Under
2026-05-14vs TEX0Under
2026-05-16vs COL0Under
2026-05-16vs COL0Under
2026-05-19vs SF0Under
2026-05-20vs SF0Under
2026-05-20vs SF0Under
2026-05-22vs COL0Under
2026-05-23vs COL0Under
2026-05-24vs COL0Under
2026-05-24vs COL0Under
2026-05-25vs SF0Under
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-30vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-06-02vs LAD0Under
2026-06-03vs LAD0Under
2026-06-05vs LAD0Under
2026-06-06vs WSH0Under
2026-06-06vs WSH0Under
2026-06-07vs WSH0Under
2026-06-09vs MIA0Under
2026-06-10vs MIA0Under
2026-06-11vs MIA0Under
2026-06-12vs CIN0Under
2026-06-13vs CIN0Under
2026-06-14vs CIN0Under
2026-06-16vs LAA0Under
2026-06-17vs LAA0Under
2026-06-17vs LAA0Under
2026-06-20vs MIN0Under
2026-06-21vs MIN0Under
2026-06-21vs MIN0Under
2026-06-22vs STL1Over
2026-06-23vs STL0Under
2026-06-24vs STL0Under
2026-06-26vs TB0Under
2026-06-27vs TB0Under
2026-06-28vs TB0Under
2026-06-30vs SF0Under
2026-07-01vs SF0Under
2026-07-02vs SF2Over
2026-07-04vs MIL1Over
2026-07-05vs MIL0Under
2026-07-05vs MIL0Under
2026-07-07vs SD0Under
2026-07-08vs SD0Under
2026-07-09vs SD0Under
2026-07-10vs SD0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ketel Marte’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.