LF · CLE
Kahlil Watson — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 6 games this season, Kahlil Watson (CLE) is averaging 0.17 runs per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.17. The over on 0.5 has hit in 17% of games. Our projection of 0.45 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Kahlil Watson went over in 1 of 6 2026 games.
Our projection 0.45 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/6 | 17% |
| 1.5 | 0/6 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Watson finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 6 games.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-22 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kahlil Watson’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.