C · PHI
J.T. Realmuto — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) has averaged 0.37 runs per game across 65 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.3. 35% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.42, below the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs NYY — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Ryan Weathers (LHP)
Career vs Ryan Weathers: 0-for-1 (.000 AVG) over 1 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), J.T. Realmuto went over in 23 of 65 2026 games.
Our projection 0.42 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.08.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 23/65 | 35% |
| 1.5 | 1/65 | 2% |
Share of 2026 games Realmuto finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-06 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-08 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-10 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-12 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-15 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-16 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-18 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-20 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-21 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-24 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-25 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-26 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-29 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-30 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-01 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-06 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-07 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-09 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See J.T. Realmuto’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.