1B · SEA
Josh Naylor — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 58 games this season, Josh Naylor (SEA) is averaging 0.98 hits per game, with the last 10 steady at 1. 62% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 1.03, ahead of the 0.83 market line.
Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -190 at BetMGM — model 64% to hit, -2.4% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Josh Naylor went over in 36 of 58 2026 games.
Our projection 1.03 vs market line 0.83 — edge +0.2.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 36/58 | 62% |
| 1.5 | 16/58 | 28% |
| 2.5 | 5/58 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Naylor finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs ATH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs ATH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CWS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CWS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Josh Naylor’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.