EdgeTake

3B · TEX

Josh Jung — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
84
Runs
42
Per Game
0.50
Projection
0.45
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 84 games this season, Josh Jung (TEX) is averaging 0.5 runs per game, trending up to 0.6 across the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 39% of games. Our projection of 0.45 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Bryce Miller (RHP)

vs LHP
.342
.922 OPS · 2 HR · 93 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.280
.766 OPS · 7 HR · 303 PA

Career vs Bryce Miller: 4-for-7, 1 HR (.571 AVG) over 8 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +145 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -186 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Josh Jung went over in 33 of 84 2026 games.

Our projection 0.45 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.05.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.533/8439%
1.57/848%

Share of 2026 games Jung finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.50

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (37)
0.73
Away (47)
0.32
Home edge
+0.41

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs PHI0Under
2026-03-28vs PHI0Under
2026-03-29vs PHI0Under
2026-03-30vs BAL0Under
2026-04-01vs BAL0Under
2026-04-03vs CIN1Over
2026-04-04vs CIN0Under
2026-04-05vs CIN0Under
2026-04-07vs SEA0Under
2026-04-11vs LAD0Under
2026-04-12vs LAD1Over
2026-04-12vs LAD2Over
2026-04-14vs ATH0Under
2026-04-15vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH2Over
2026-04-18vs SEA0Under
2026-04-18vs SEA1Over
2026-04-19vs SEA0Under
2026-04-22vs PIT1Over
2026-04-23vs PIT1Over
2026-04-24vs PIT1Over
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-25vs ATH1Over
2026-04-26vs ATH1Over
2026-04-28vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-05-01vs DET0Under
2026-05-02vs DET0Under
2026-05-03vs DET0Under
2026-05-05vs NYY1Over
2026-05-06vs NYY0Under
2026-05-07vs NYY0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC2Over
2026-05-10vs CHC2Over
2026-05-12vs AZ0Under
2026-05-13vs AZ1Over
2026-05-14vs AZ1Over
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-17vs HOU0Under
2026-05-19vs COL1Over
2026-05-20vs COL1Over
2026-05-20vs COL1Over
2026-05-23vs LAA0Under
2026-05-24vs LAA0Under
2026-05-27vs HOU1Over
2026-05-28vs HOU0Under
2026-05-29vs HOU1Over
2026-05-30vs KC1Over
2026-05-30vs KC2Over
2026-05-31vs KC1Over
2026-06-01vs STL0Under
2026-06-02vs STL0Under
2026-06-03vs STL0Under
2026-06-06vs CLE0Under
2026-06-06vs CLE0Under
2026-06-07vs CLE3Over
2026-06-09vs KC0Under
2026-06-10vs KC0Under
2026-06-11vs KC0Under
2026-06-12vs BOS0Under
2026-06-13vs BOS1Over
2026-06-14vs BOS0Under
2026-06-16vs MIN0Under
2026-06-17vs MIN0Under
2026-06-18vs MIN0Under
2026-06-20vs SD3Over
2026-06-20vs SD1Over
2026-06-21vs SD0Under
2026-06-22vs MIA0Under
2026-06-23vs MIA0Under
2026-06-24vs MIA0Under
2026-06-26vs TOR1Over
2026-06-27vs TOR1Over
2026-06-28vs TOR0Under
2026-06-29vs CLE1Over
2026-06-30vs CLE1Over
2026-07-01vs CLE0Under
2026-07-03vs DET1Over
2026-07-04vs DET0Under
2026-07-10vs LAA1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Josh Jung’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.