EdgeTake

C · CIN

Jose Trevino — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
20
Runs
7
Per Game
0.35
Projection
0.4
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 20 games this season, Jose Trevino (CIN) is averaging 0.35 runs per game, with recent form ahead of that at 0.5 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 35% of games this season. Our projection of 0.4 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Andre Pallante (RHP)

vs LHP
.300
.600 OPS · 0 HR · 11 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.262
.719 OPS · 3 HR · 67 PA

Career vs Andre Pallante: 3-for-7, 1 HR (.429 AVG) over 8 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +187 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -250 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Jose Trevino went over in 7 of 20 2026 games.

Our projection 0.4 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.1.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.57/2035%
1.50/200%

Share of 2026 games Trevino finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.35

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (12)
0.33
Away (8)
0.38
Home edge
-0.04

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-28vs BOS0Under
2026-03-31vs PIT0Under
2026-04-04vs TEX0Under
2026-04-26vs DET0Under
2026-04-29vs COL0Under
2026-05-03vs PIT0Under
2026-05-06vs CHC0Under
2026-05-09vs HOU1Over
2026-05-14vs WSH1Over
2026-05-16vs CLE0Under
2026-06-14vs AZ0Under
2026-06-17vs NYM1Over
2026-06-20vs NYY1Over
2026-06-23vs MIL0Under
2026-06-24vs MIL0Under
2026-06-27vs PIT1Over
2026-06-30vs MIL0Under
2026-07-02vs MIL1Over
2026-07-04vs BAL1Over
2026-07-08vs PHI0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jose Trevino’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.