DH · AZ
Jose Fernandez — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 52 games this season, Jose Fernandez (AZ) is averaging 1.12 total bases per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.9. The over on 0.5 has hit in 54% of games. Our projection of 1.13 sits above the market line of 1.04.
Next: vs WSH — their staff ranks 26 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -150 at BetMGM — model 56% to hit, -6.9% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Jose Fernandez went over in 28 of 52 2026 games.
Our projection 1.13 vs market line 1.04 — edge +0.09.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 28/52 | 54% |
| 1.5 | 13/52 | 25% |
| 2.5 | 6/52 | 12% |
| 3.5 | 3/52 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Fernandez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | vs DET | 9 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs NYM | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SD | 6 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SEA | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jose Fernandez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.