EdgeTake

DH · LAA

Jorge Soler — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
71
Home Runs
11
Per Game
0.15
Projection
0.13
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jorge Soler (LAA) has averaged 0.15 home runs per game across 71 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 15% of games this season. We project 0.13, short of the 1.27 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ SF — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Robbie Ray (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.211
.599 OPS · 1 HR · 83 PA
vs RHP
.203
.686 OPS · 10 HR · 252 PA

Career vs Robbie Ray: 1-for-7 (.143 AVG) over 10 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +425 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Jorge Soler went over in 11 of 71 2026 games.

Our projection 0.13 vs market line 1.27 — edge -1.14.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.511/7115%

Share of 2026 games Soler finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.15

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (37)
0.19
Away (34)
0.12
Home edge
+0.07

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs HOU0Under
2026-03-28vs HOU0Under
2026-03-28vs HOU1Over
2026-03-29vs HOU0Under
2026-03-30vs CHC0Under
2026-03-31vs CHC0Under
2026-04-01vs CHC0Under
2026-04-04vs SEA0Under
2026-04-05vs SEA0Under
2026-04-05vs SEA0Under
2026-04-07vs ATL0Under
2026-04-08vs ATL1Over
2026-04-08vs ATL1Over
2026-04-10vs CIN1Over
2026-04-11vs CIN0Under
2026-04-12vs CIN0Under
2026-04-13vs NYY0Under
2026-04-14vs NYY1Over
2026-04-19vs SD0Under
2026-04-21vs TOR0Under
2026-04-22vs TOR0Under
2026-04-22vs TOR0Under
2026-04-24vs KC0Under
2026-04-25vs KC0Under
2026-04-26vs KC0Under
2026-04-27vs CWS1Over
2026-04-28vs CWS0Under
2026-04-29vs CWS0Under
2026-05-02vs NYM1Over
2026-05-03vs NYM0Under
2026-05-03vs NYM0Under
2026-05-05vs CWS0Under
2026-05-06vs CWS1Over
2026-05-06vs CWS0Under
2026-05-08vs TOR0Under
2026-05-09vs TOR0Under
2026-05-10vs TOR0Under
2026-05-11vs CLE0Under
2026-05-12vs CLE0Under
2026-05-13vs CLE0Under
2026-05-16vs LAD0Under
2026-05-17vs LAD0Under
2026-05-17vs LAD0Under
2026-05-19vs ATH0Under
2026-05-20vs ATH0Under
2026-05-21vs ATH1Over
2026-05-22vs ATH0Under
2026-05-23vs TEX0Under
2026-05-24vs TEX0Under
2026-05-24vs TEX0Under
2026-05-26vs DET0Under
2026-05-27vs DET0Under
2026-05-28vs DET0Under
2026-05-30vs TB0Under
2026-05-31vs TB0Under
2026-06-02vs COL0Under
2026-06-03vs COL0Under
2026-06-04vs COL0Under
2026-06-23vs BAL1Over
2026-06-24vs BAL0Under
2026-06-24vs BAL1Over
2026-06-27vs ATH0Under
2026-06-28vs ATH0Under
2026-06-30vs SEA0Under
2026-07-01vs SEA0Under
2026-07-03vs SEA0Under
2026-07-04vs BOS0Under
2026-07-05vs BOS0Under
2026-07-06vs BOS0Under
2026-07-08vs TEX0Under
2026-07-10vs TEX0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jorge Soler’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.