EdgeTake

RF · TB

Jonny DeLuca — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
50
Home Runs
5
Per Game
0.10
Projection
0.12
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Jonny DeLuca (TB) sits at 0.1 home runs per game through 50 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.1. The over on 1.5 has hit in 0% of games. Our model projects 0.12, below the market line of 1.09.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Joey Cantillo (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.260
.760 OPS · 2 HR · 79 PA
vs RHP
.263
.718 OPS · 4 HR · 119 PA

Career vs Joey Cantillo: 0-for-2 (.000 AVG) over 2 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +850 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Jonny DeLuca went over in 0 of 50 2026 games.

Our projection 0.12 vs market line 1.09 — edge -0.97.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.55/5010%

Share of 2026 games DeLuca finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.10

Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (28)
0.07
Away (22)
0.14
Home edge
-0.06

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs STL0Under
2026-03-29vs STL0Under
2026-03-30vs MIL1Under
2026-03-31vs MIL0Under
2026-04-01vs MIL0Under
2026-04-03vs MIN0Under
2026-04-05vs MIN0Under
2026-04-08vs CHC0Under
2026-04-10vs NYY0Under
2026-04-11vs NYY0Under
2026-04-14vs CWS0Under
2026-04-15vs CWS1Under
2026-04-16vs CWS0Under
2026-04-18vs PIT0Under
2026-04-19vs PIT0Under
2026-04-21vs CIN0Under
2026-04-22vs CIN0Under
2026-04-24vs MIN0Under
2026-04-25vs MIN0Under
2026-04-27vs CLE0Under
2026-05-01vs SF0Under
2026-05-02vs SF0Under
2026-05-03vs SF0Under
2026-05-04vs TOR0Under
2026-05-05vs TOR0Under
2026-05-06vs TOR0Under
2026-05-07vs BOS0Under
2026-05-08vs BOS0Under
2026-05-10vs BOS0Under
2026-05-12vs TOR0Under
2026-05-15vs MIA0Under
2026-05-16vs MIA0Under
2026-05-17vs MIA0Under
2026-05-18vs BAL0Under
2026-05-19vs BAL0Under
2026-05-20vs BAL0Under
2026-05-22vs NYY0Under
2026-06-19vs WSH1Under
2026-06-21vs WSH1Under
2026-06-22vs KC0Under
2026-06-23vs KC0Under
2026-06-24vs KC0Under
2026-06-26vs AZ0Under
2026-06-30vs KC0Under
2026-07-04vs HOU0Under
2026-07-04vs HOU1Under
2026-07-05vs HOU0Under
2026-07-06vs NYY0Under
2026-07-08vs NYY0Under
2026-07-09vs NYY0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jonny DeLuca’s full profile and methodology.