EdgeTake

RF · KC

John Rave — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
5
Runs
3
Per Game
0.60
Projection
0.49
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 5 games this season, John Rave (KC) is averaging 0.6 runs per game, tracking close to that at 0.6 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 40% of games this season. We project 0.49, about even with the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ TB — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Casey Legumina (RHP)

vs LHP
.333
1.333 OPS · 0 HR · 3 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.300
1.262 OPS · 1 HR · 13 PA

Career vs Casey Legumina: 0-for-0 (.000 AVG) over 1 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +210 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -295 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), John Rave went over in 2 of 5 2026 games.

Our projection 0.49 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.01.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/540%
1.51/520%

Share of 2026 games Rave finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 5 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.60

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 5 games.

Home / away splits

Home (2)
0.50
Away (3)
0.67
Home edge
-0.17

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-06-15vs WSH0Under
2026-06-17vs WSH2Over
2026-06-20vs STL1Over
2026-06-21vs STL0Under
2026-06-22vs TB0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See John Rave’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.