EdgeTake

RF · KC

John Rave — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
5
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.20
Projection
0.12
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

John Rave (KC) sits at 0.2 home runs per game through 5 games, tracking close to that at 0.2 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 20% of those games. Our projection of 0.12 comes in under the market line of 1.

Next matchup

Next: @ TB — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Casey Legumina (RHP)

vs LHP
.333
1.333 OPS · 0 HR · 3 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.300
1.262 OPS · 1 HR · 13 PA

Career vs Casey Legumina: 0-for-0 (.000 AVG) over 1 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +850 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), John Rave went over in 1 of 5 2026 games.

Our projection 0.12 vs market line 1 — edge -0.88.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/520%

Share of 2026 games Rave finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 5 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.20

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 5 games.

Home / away splits

Home (2)
0.00
Away (3)
0.33
Home edge
-0.33

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-06-15vs WSH0Under
2026-06-17vs WSH1Over
2026-06-20vs STL0Under
2026-06-21vs STL0Under
2026-06-22vs TB0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See John Rave’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.