EdgeTake

SS · MIL

Joey Ortiz — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
70
Stolen Bases
5
Per Game
0.07
Projection
0.08
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Joey Ortiz (MIL) sits at 0.07 stolen bases per game through 70 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0. They've gone over 0.5 in 6% of those games. Our projection of 0.08 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs COL — their staff ranks 30 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Ryan Feltner (RHP)

vs LHP
.221
.580 OPS · 1 HR · 87 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.242
.687 OPS · 4 HR · 179 PA

Career vs Ryan Feltner: 1-for-4 (.250 AVG) over 4 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +800 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Joey Ortiz went over in 4 of 70 2026 games.

Our projection 0.08 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.42.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/706%

Share of 2026 games Ortiz finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.07

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (35)
0.11
Away (35)
0.03
Home edge
+0.09

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs CWS0Under
2026-03-28vs CWS2Over
2026-03-29vs CWS0Under
2026-03-31vs TB0Under
2026-04-01vs TB0Under
2026-04-03vs KC1Over
2026-04-05vs KC0Under
2026-04-07vs BOS0Under
2026-04-08vs BOS0Under
2026-04-11vs WSH0Under
2026-04-12vs WSH0Under
2026-04-14vs TOR0Under
2026-04-15vs TOR1Over
2026-04-16vs TOR0Under
2026-04-18vs MIA0Under
2026-04-21vs DET0Under
2026-04-22vs DET0Under
2026-04-23vs DET0Under
2026-04-24vs PIT0Under
2026-04-25vs PIT0Under
2026-04-28vs AZ0Under
2026-04-29vs AZ0Under
2026-05-02vs WSH0Under
2026-05-03vs WSH0Under
2026-05-06vs STL0Under
2026-05-08vs NYY0Under
2026-05-10vs NYY0Under
2026-05-12vs SD0Under
2026-05-13vs SD0Under
2026-05-14vs SD0Under
2026-05-15vs MIN0Under
2026-05-16vs MIN0Under
2026-05-17vs MIN0Under
2026-05-18vs CHC0Under
2026-05-20vs CHC0Under
2026-05-22vs LAD0Under
2026-05-23vs LAD0Under
2026-05-24vs LAD0Under
2026-05-25vs STL0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-31vs HOU0Under
2026-06-01vs SF0Under
2026-06-04vs SF0Under
2026-06-06vs COL0Under
2026-06-07vs COL0Under
2026-06-07vs COL0Under
2026-06-09vs ATH0Under
2026-06-11vs ATH0Under
2026-06-12vs PHI1Over
2026-06-13vs PHI0Under
2026-06-14vs PHI0Under
2026-06-18vs CLE0Under
2026-06-19vs ATL0Under
2026-06-20vs ATL0Under
2026-06-22vs CIN0Under
2026-06-23vs CIN0Under
2026-06-27vs CHC0Under
2026-06-28vs CHC0Under
2026-06-29vs CIN0Under
2026-06-30vs CIN0Under
2026-07-02vs CIN0Under
2026-07-02vs CIN0Under
2026-07-04vs AZ0Under
2026-07-05vs AZ0Under
2026-07-05vs AZ0Under
2026-07-06vs STL0Under
2026-07-07vs STL0Under
2026-07-07vs STL0Under
2026-07-08vs STL0Under
2026-07-09vs STL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Joey Ortiz’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.