EdgeTake

DH · TEX

Joc Pederson — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
85
Total Bases
110
Per Game
1.29
Projection
1.62
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Joc Pederson (TEX) sits at 1.29 total bases per game through 85 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.5. The over on 0.5 has hit in 48% of games. Our model projects 1.62, a step above the market line of 1.12.

Next matchup

Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Bryce Miller (RHP)

vs LHP
.167
.759 OPS · 1 HR · 28 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.252
.834 OPS · 16 HR · 277 PA

Career vs Bryce Miller: 0-for-1 (.000 AVG) over 2 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -150 at BetMGM — model 59% to hit, -2.1% EV.

Over 0.5 -150 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +115 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Joc Pederson went over in 41 of 85 2026 games.

Our projection 1.62 vs market line 1.12 — edge +0.5.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.541/8548%
1.524/8528%
2.519/8522%
3.515/8518%

Share of 2026 games Pederson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.50
Season avg
1.29

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (42)
1.26
Away (43)
1.33
Home edge
-0.06

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs PHI0Under
2026-03-28vs PHI0Under
2026-03-30vs BAL0Under
2026-03-31vs BAL0Under
2026-04-03vs CIN0Under
2026-04-04vs CIN0Under
2026-04-05vs CIN4Over
2026-04-07vs SEA2Over
2026-04-08vs SEA1Over
2026-04-08vs SEA0Under
2026-04-11vs LAD1Over
2026-04-12vs LAD0Under
2026-04-12vs LAD1Over
2026-04-14vs ATH3Over
2026-04-15vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH1Over
2026-04-18vs SEA1Over
2026-04-18vs SEA1Over
2026-04-19vs SEA0Under
2026-04-22vs PIT1Over
2026-04-23vs PIT0Under
2026-04-24vs PIT1Over
2026-04-25vs ATH1Over
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-26vs ATH0Under
2026-04-28vs NYY4Over
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY1Over
2026-05-01vs DET0Under
2026-05-02vs DET0Under
2026-05-05vs NYY0Under
2026-05-07vs NYY1Over
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC3Over
2026-05-10vs CHC2Over
2026-05-12vs AZ0Under
2026-05-13vs AZ4Over
2026-05-14vs AZ0Under
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-16vs HOU1Over
2026-05-17vs HOU0Under
2026-05-19vs COL0Under
2026-05-20vs COL5Over
2026-05-20vs COL0Under
2026-05-23vs LAA2Over
2026-05-24vs LAA1Over
2026-05-24vs LAA0Under
2026-05-25vs HOU0Under
2026-05-27vs HOU4Over
2026-05-28vs HOU9Over
2026-05-29vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs KC4Over
2026-05-30vs KC4Over
2026-05-31vs KC0Under
2026-06-01vs STL1Over
2026-06-02vs STL5Over
2026-06-03vs STL3Over
2026-06-06vs CLE0Under
2026-06-06vs CLE0Under
2026-06-07vs CLE0Under
2026-06-09vs KC3Over
2026-06-10vs KC0Under
2026-06-12vs BOS2Over
2026-06-13vs BOS0Under
2026-06-14vs BOS0Under
2026-06-16vs MIN5Over
2026-06-17vs MIN1Over
2026-06-18vs MIN0Under
2026-06-20vs SD0Under
2026-06-20vs SD0Under
2026-06-21vs SD0Under
2026-06-22vs MIA2Over
2026-06-23vs MIA6Over
2026-06-24vs MIA4Over
2026-06-25vs TOR5Over
2026-06-27vs TOR0Under
2026-06-28vs TOR4Over
2026-06-30vs CLE4Over
2026-07-01vs CLE0Under
2026-07-04vs DET1Over
2026-07-05vs DET1Over
2026-07-08vs LAA0Under
2026-07-09vs LAA0Under
2026-07-10vs LAA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Joc Pederson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.