EdgeTake

DH · TEX

Joc Pederson — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
85
Stolen Bases
1
Per Game
0.01
Projection
0.03
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Joc Pederson (TEX) sits at 0.01 stolen bases per game through 85 games, trending up to 0.1 across the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 1% of games this season. We project 0.03, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Bryan Woo (RHP)

vs LHP
.167
.759 OPS · 1 HR · 28 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.252
.828 OPS · 16 HR · 281 PA

Career vs Bryan Woo: 0-for-12 (.000 AVG) over 13 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +1350 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Joc Pederson went over in 1 of 85 2026 games.

Our projection 0.03 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.47.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/851%

Share of 2026 games Pederson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.01

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (42)
0.02
Away (43)
0.00
Home edge
+0.02

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs PHI0Under
2026-03-28vs PHI0Under
2026-03-30vs BAL0Under
2026-03-31vs BAL0Under
2026-04-03vs CIN0Under
2026-04-04vs CIN0Under
2026-04-05vs CIN0Under
2026-04-07vs SEA0Under
2026-04-08vs SEA0Under
2026-04-08vs SEA0Under
2026-04-11vs LAD0Under
2026-04-12vs LAD0Under
2026-04-12vs LAD0Under
2026-04-14vs ATH0Under
2026-04-15vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH0Under
2026-04-18vs SEA0Under
2026-04-18vs SEA0Under
2026-04-19vs SEA0Under
2026-04-22vs PIT0Under
2026-04-23vs PIT0Under
2026-04-24vs PIT0Under
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-26vs ATH0Under
2026-04-28vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-05-01vs DET0Under
2026-05-02vs DET0Under
2026-05-05vs NYY0Under
2026-05-07vs NYY0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-10vs CHC0Under
2026-05-12vs AZ0Under
2026-05-13vs AZ0Under
2026-05-14vs AZ0Under
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-17vs HOU0Under
2026-05-19vs COL0Under
2026-05-20vs COL0Under
2026-05-20vs COL0Under
2026-05-23vs LAA0Under
2026-05-24vs LAA0Under
2026-05-24vs LAA0Under
2026-05-25vs HOU0Under
2026-05-27vs HOU0Under
2026-05-28vs HOU0Under
2026-05-29vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs KC0Under
2026-05-30vs KC0Under
2026-05-31vs KC0Under
2026-06-01vs STL0Under
2026-06-02vs STL0Under
2026-06-03vs STL0Under
2026-06-06vs CLE0Under
2026-06-06vs CLE0Under
2026-06-07vs CLE0Under
2026-06-09vs KC0Under
2026-06-10vs KC0Under
2026-06-12vs BOS0Under
2026-06-13vs BOS0Under
2026-06-14vs BOS0Under
2026-06-16vs MIN0Under
2026-06-17vs MIN0Under
2026-06-18vs MIN0Under
2026-06-20vs SD0Under
2026-06-20vs SD0Under
2026-06-21vs SD0Under
2026-06-22vs MIA0Under
2026-06-23vs MIA0Under
2026-06-24vs MIA0Under
2026-06-25vs TOR0Under
2026-06-27vs TOR0Under
2026-06-28vs TOR0Under
2026-06-30vs CLE0Under
2026-07-01vs CLE0Under
2026-07-04vs DET0Under
2026-07-05vs DET0Under
2026-07-08vs LAA0Under
2026-07-09vs LAA1Over
2026-07-10vs LAA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Joc Pederson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.