LF · CIN
JJ Bleday — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
JJ Bleday (CIN) sits at 0.5 runs per game through 64 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.3. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 38% of games this season. We project 0.49, about even with the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Dustin May (RHP)
Career vs Dustin May: 0-for-3 (.000 AVG) over 5 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), JJ Bleday went over in 24 of 64 2026 games.
Our projection 0.49 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.01.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 24/64 | 38% |
| 1.5 | 7/64 | 11% |
Share of 2026 games Bleday finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PIT | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-07 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-10 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-10 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-12 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-15 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-16 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-17 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-19 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-21 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-22 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-24 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-26 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-28 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-29 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-02 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-02 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-03 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-07 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-07-09 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See JJ Bleday’s full profile and methodology.