EdgeTake

LF · CIN

JJ Bleday — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
33
Hits
35
Per Game
1.06
Projection
1.23
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

JJ Bleday (CIN) sits at 1.06 hits per game through 33 games, with recent form ahead of that at 1.2 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 67% of those games. We project 1.23, ahead of the 0.62 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -185 at BetMGM — model 67% to hit, +2.7% EV.

Over 0.5 -185 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +157 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), JJ Bleday went over in 22 of 33 2026 games.

Our projection 1.23 vs market line 0.62 — edge +0.61.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.522/3367%
1.510/3330%
2.53/339%

Share of 2026 games Bleday finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.20
Season avg
1.06

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (17)
1.00
Away (16)
1.13
Home edge
-0.13

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-04-26vs DET1Over
2026-04-29vs COL1Over
2026-04-30vs COL0Under
2026-05-01vs PIT0Under
2026-05-02vs PIT2Over
2026-05-03vs PIT1Over
2026-05-04vs CHC1Over
2026-05-05vs CHC1Over
2026-05-06vs CHC2Over
2026-05-07vs CHC1Over
2026-05-08vs HOU0Under
2026-05-09vs HOU0Under
2026-05-10vs HOU1Over
2026-05-12vs WSH2Over
2026-05-13vs WSH1Over
2026-05-14vs WSH3Over
2026-05-15vs CLE3Over
2026-05-16vs CLE0Under
2026-05-17vs CLE0Under
2026-05-18vs PHI0Under
2026-05-19vs PHI1Over
2026-05-20vs PHI2Over
2026-05-22vs STL0Under
2026-05-23vs STL0Under
2026-05-25vs NYM1Over
2026-05-26vs NYM3Over
2026-05-27vs NYM0Under
2026-05-29vs ATL2Over
2026-05-30vs ATL2Over
2026-05-31vs ATL2Over
2026-06-01vs KC1Over
2026-06-02vs KC0Under
2026-06-03vs KC1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See JJ Bleday’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.