RF · PIT
Jhostynxon Garcia — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Jhostynxon Garcia (PIT) has averaged 0.18 runs per game across 11 games this season, trending up to 0.2 across the last 10. 18% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.42 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs CHC — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Matthew Boyd (LHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Jhostynxon Garcia went over in 2 of 11 2026 games.
Our projection 0.42 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.08.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 2/11 | 18% |
| 1.5 | 0/11 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Garcia finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-05 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jhostynxon Garcia’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.