EdgeTake

RF · PIT

Jhostynxon Garcia — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
11
Hits
7
Per Game
0.64
Projection
0.67
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jhostynxon Garcia (PIT) has averaged 0.64 hits per game across 11 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.6 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 55% of games. Our model projects 0.67, a step above the market line of 0.6.

Next matchup

Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +155 at BetMGM — model 44% to hit, +12.0% EV.

Over 0.5 -210 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +155 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Jhostynxon Garcia went over in 6 of 11 2026 games.

Our projection 0.67 vs market line 0.6 — edge +0.07.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/1155%
1.51/119%
2.50/110%

Share of 2026 games Garcia finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.64

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.25
Away (7)
0.86
Home edge
-0.61

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-19vs STL1Over
2026-05-20vs STL2Over
2026-05-22vs TOR1Over
2026-05-23vs TOR1Over
2026-05-24vs TOR0Under
2026-05-25vs CHC0Under
2026-05-26vs CHC0Under
2026-05-28vs CHC1Over
2026-05-29vs MIN0Under
2026-06-04vs HOU1Over
2026-06-05vs ATL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jhostynxon Garcia’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.