EdgeTake

SS · HOU

Jeremy Peña — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
47
Total Bases
79
Per Game
1.68
Projection
1.78
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Jeremy Peña (HOU) sits at 1.68 total bases per game through 47 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 2. The over on 1.5 has hit in 38% of games. We project 1.78, ahead of the 1.49 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ CWS — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Davis Martin (RHP)

vs LHP
.295
.786 OPS · 1 HR · 48 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.304
.846 OPS · 8 HR · 187 PA

Career vs Davis Martin: 2-for-6 (.333 AVG) over 6 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -125 at BetMGM — model 57% to hit, +2.2% EV.

Over 1.5 +113 DraftKingsUnder 1.5 -125 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (bovada), Jeremy Peña went over in 18 of 47 2026 games.

Our projection 1.78 vs market line 1.49 — edge +0.29.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.536/4777%
1.518/4738%
2.510/4721%
3.56/4713%

Share of 2026 games Peña finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
2.00
Season avg
1.68

Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (18)
2.22
Away (29)
1.34
Home edge
+0.88

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-28vs LAA2Over
2026-03-29vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs BOS1Under
2026-04-04vs ATH2Over
2026-04-04vs ATH4Over
2026-04-07vs COL3Over
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-08vs COL1Under
2026-04-11vs SEA1Under
2026-04-12vs SEA1Under
2026-05-18vs MIN0Under
2026-05-19vs MIN2Over
2026-05-20vs MIN1Under
2026-05-22vs CHC1Under
2026-05-23vs CHC0Under
2026-05-24vs CHC1Under
2026-05-25vs TEX1Under
2026-05-27vs TEX4Over
2026-05-28vs TEX1Under
2026-05-29vs TEX5Over
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL6Over
2026-05-31vs MIL1Under
2026-06-03vs PIT2Over
2026-06-04vs PIT3Over
2026-06-05vs PIT2Over
2026-06-06vs ATH1Under
2026-06-06vs ATH2Over
2026-06-07vs ATH0Under
2026-06-09vs LAA0Under
2026-06-10vs LAA0Under
2026-06-13vs KC1Under
2026-06-13vs KC1Under
2026-06-14vs KC0Under
2026-06-16vs DET1Under
2026-06-17vs DET3Over
2026-06-17vs DET5Over
2026-06-20vs CLE9Over
2026-06-20vs CLE0Under
2026-06-21vs CLE2Over
2026-06-22vs TOR1Under
2026-06-23vs TOR0Under
2026-06-24vs TOR1Under
2026-06-25vs DET2Over
2026-06-26vs DET1Under
2026-06-27vs DET3Over
2026-06-28vs DET1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jeremy Peña’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.