EdgeTake

SS · HOU

Jeremy Peña — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
26
Home Runs
3
Per Game
0.12
Projection
0.15
Current Line
2.5
Outlook

Jeremy Peña (HOU) sits at 0.12 home runs per game through 26 games, trending up to 0.3 across the last 10. 0% of those games have finished over 2.5. Our projection of 0.15 comes in under the market line of 1.27.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +625 Caesars

At a line of 2.5 (betrivers), Jeremy Peña went over in 0 of 26 2026 games.

Our projection 0.15 vs market line 1.27 — edge -1.12.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/2612%

Share of 2026 games Peña finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.12

Over 2.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (9)
0.11
Away (17)
0.12
Home edge
-0.01

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-28vs LAA0Under
2026-03-29vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs BOS0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH0Under
2026-04-07vs COL0Under
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-11vs SEA0Under
2026-04-12vs SEA0Under
2026-05-18vs MIN0Under
2026-05-19vs MIN0Under
2026-05-20vs MIN0Under
2026-05-22vs CHC0Under
2026-05-23vs CHC0Under
2026-05-24vs CHC0Under
2026-05-25vs TEX0Under
2026-05-27vs TEX1Under
2026-05-28vs TEX0Under
2026-05-29vs TEX1Under
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL1Under
2026-05-31vs MIL0Under
2026-06-03vs PIT0Under
2026-06-04vs PIT0Under
2026-06-05vs PIT0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jeremy Peña’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.