EdgeTake

3B · MIA

Javier Sanoja — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
42
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.02
Projection
0.07
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Javier Sanoja (MIA) sits at 0.02 home runs per game through 42 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0. 2% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.07, short of the 0.75 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +1100 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Javier Sanoja went over in 1 of 42 2026 games.

Our projection 0.07 vs market line 0.75 — edge -0.68.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/422%

Share of 2026 games Sanoja finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.02

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (25)
0.04
Away (17)
0.00
Home edge
+0.04

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-27vs COL0Under
2026-03-29vs COL0Under
2026-03-30vs CWS0Under
2026-04-01vs CWS0Under
2026-04-04vs NYY0Under
2026-04-05vs NYY0Under
2026-04-06vs CIN0Under
2026-04-07vs CIN0Under
2026-04-08vs CIN0Under
2026-04-09vs CIN0Under
2026-04-10vs DET0Under
2026-04-12vs DET0Under
2026-04-14vs ATL0Under
2026-04-17vs MIL0Under
2026-04-18vs MIL0Under
2026-04-19vs MIL0Under
2026-04-21vs STL0Under
2026-04-22vs STL0Under
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-28vs LAD0Under
2026-04-29vs LAD0Under
2026-05-01vs PHI0Under
2026-05-02vs PHI0Under
2026-05-03vs PHI0Under
2026-05-06vs BAL0Under
2026-05-07vs BAL0Under
2026-05-08vs WSH0Under
2026-05-10vs WSH0Under
2026-05-14vs MIN0Under
2026-05-16vs TB0Under
2026-05-18vs ATL1Over
2026-05-20vs ATL0Under
2026-05-21vs ATL0Under
2026-05-22vs NYM0Under
2026-05-24vs NYM0Under
2026-05-25vs TOR0Under
2026-05-26vs TOR0Under
2026-05-27vs TOR0Under
2026-05-29vs NYM0Under
2026-05-31vs NYM0Under
2026-06-03vs WSH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Javier Sanoja’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.