LF · BOS
Jarren Duran — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Jarren Duran (BOS) sits at 0.88 hits per game through 56 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.4. They've gone over 0.5 in 61% of those games. We project 1.05, ahead of the 0.6 market line.
Next: @ NYY — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -175 at BetMGM — model 63% to hit, -1.1% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Jarren Duran went over in 34 of 56 2026 games.
Our projection 1.05 vs market line 0.6 — edge +0.45.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 34/56 | 61% |
| 1.5 | 11/56 | 20% |
| 2.5 | 3/56 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Duran finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 9 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs NYY | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs DET | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jarren Duran’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.