RF · TEX
Jarred Kelenic — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Jarred Kelenic (TEX) has averaged 0.78 total bases per game across 23 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.5. The over on 1.5 has hit in 17% of games. We project 1.04, ahead of the 0.86 market line.
Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Bryan Woo (RHP)
Career vs Bryan Woo: 0-for-2 (.000 AVG) over 2 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
Over 0.5 -105 at BetMGM — model 49% to hit, -3.9% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Jarred Kelenic went over in 4 of 23 2026 games.
Our projection 1.04 vs market line 0.86 — edge +0.18.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 10/23 | 43% |
| 1.5 | 4/23 | 17% |
| 2.5 | 3/23 | 13% |
| 3.5 | 1/23 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Kelenic finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs LAA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs SEA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SEA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs KC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CHC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SEA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SEA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jarred Kelenic’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.